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Nonyl Phenol Price Trend and Forecast

⟳ Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
|
Forecast for 2026

nonyl phenol Markets Covered:

twTaiwan
sgSingapore
inIndia

Global nonyl phenol Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

During Q1 2025, the international Nonyl Phenol market saw a continued downward trend, with FOB Taiwan prices declining to $1577/MT, reflecting a 6.06% decrease compared to Q4 2024. The price decline was mainly driven by weaker demand across key applications, particularly in the surfactant and plastics industries. CIF Singapore prices also saw a decline, falling by 6.01% to $1605/MT, as the regional market remained under pressure from reduced industrial activity and higher inventory levels. Despite some resilience in the detergent sector, overall sentiment remained cautious, and procurement volumes continued to be subdued across major markets. 

Nonyl PhenolTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

During Q1 2025, the international Nonyl Phenol market saw a continued downward trend, with FOB Taiwan prices declining to $1577/MT, reflecting a 6.06% decrease compared to Q4 2024. The price decline was mainly driven by weaker demand across key applications, particularly in the surfactant and plastics industries. CIF Singapore prices also saw a decline, falling by 6.01% to $1605/MT, as the regional market remained under pressure from reduced industrial activity and higher inventory levels. Despite some resilience in the detergent sector, overall sentiment remained cautious, and procurement volumes continued to be subdued across major markets. 

In Q1 2025, the Indian Nonyl Phenol market experienced a mild price correction. CIF India prices dropped to INR 142,296/MT, reflecting a -3.96% decrease from the previous quarter. Domestic demand from sectors such as surfactants and plastic additives remained moderate, as buyers took a cautious approach post-festive season, focusing on liquidating older inventory. Import flows from Taiwan remained steady, and easing global freight rates added downward pressure. Ex-Mumbai prices mirrored this trend, falling to INR 154,783/MT, a -1.50% drop, driven by subdued local buying sentiment and adequate stock availability in key trading hubs. 

Nonyl Phenol Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, the Nonyl Phenol market showed a slight retreat after the growth observed in Q3. FOB Taiwan prices decreased to $1678/MT, a 2.29% drop, driven by softer demand and ongoing challenges in downstream sectors. CIF Singapore prices dropped by 2.70%, settling at $1707/MT, as market participants adjusted their expectations in response to weak economic activity in the Asia-Pacific region. The overall market remained sluggish, with uncertainty surrounding feedstock availability and future pricing trends, though some regional demand from cleaning and agricultural sectors offered modest support. 

In Q4 2024, the market showed signs of stabilization with only a slight dip in prices. CIF India prices were recorded at INR 148,164/MT, a -0.97% decrease from Q3. Although festive demand around Diwali provided some support—especially in industrial cleaning and coatings—momentum cooled afterward due to sufficient domestic stocks and stable imports from Taiwan. As a result, Ex-Mumbai prices fell to INR 157,146/MT, reflecting a -5.14% decline, as traders adjusted pricing to stay competitive and account for the softening demand environment. 

During Q3 2024, the Nonyl Phenol market experienced a rebound, with FOB Taiwan prices rising to $1718/MT, reflecting a 7.20% increase compared to Q2. CIF Singapore prices rose by 7.73% to $1755/MT, supported by a recovery in demand from the surfactant, detergent, and polymer industries. The price surge was driven by stronger industrial activity, particularly in Southeast Asia, as well as restocking efforts in anticipation of potential supply disruptions. The market sentiment turned more optimistic in the short term, although concerns about long-term demand stability remained. 

In Q3 2024, the Nonyl Phenol market turned bullish. CIF India prices surged to INR 149,618/MT, up 8.64% from Q2, driven by a sharp uptick in demand from the resin, surfactant, and adhesive sectors. Post-monsoon manufacturing activity rebounded strongly, especially in construction-related segments. On the supply side, export availability from Taiwan was somewhat constrained due to scheduled maintenance at key production sites, tightening supply and pushing prices higher. In line with this, Ex-Mumbai prices increased to INR 165,666/MT, a 4.41% rise, reflecting tighter domestic supply and healthy demand. 

In Q2 2024, the Nonyl Phenol market showed moderate price declines. FOB Taiwan prices slipped to $1602/MT, a 1.05% decrease compared to Q1. CIF Singapore prices also fell by 0.89%, settling at $1629/MT. The decline was primarily attributed to ongoing soft demand across key sectors, with reduced purchasing activity from both the chemical and plastic industries. Despite this, the market showed some signs of stability, as suppliers maintained steady production and logistical operations, though the outlook remained cautious. 

In Q2 2024, the market remained relatively stable. CIF India prices stood at INR 137,721/MT, showing a marginal -0.29% decrease from Q1. Demand from the surfactant and coating industries held steady, and there were no notable disruptions in imports from Taiwan. While global prices remained subdued, domestic restocking ahead of the monsoon season improved sentiment. This was reflected in Ex-Mumbai prices, which rose to INR 158,666/MT, a 1.93% increase, indicating slightly stronger buying activity and better sales performance in regional markets. 

During Q1 2024, the Nonyl Phenol market saw a notable decline, with FOB Taiwan prices falling to $1619/MT, a 4.37% drop compared to the previous quarter. CIF Singapore prices also dropped by 3.56%, reaching $1643/MT. The decrease in prices was largely attributed to weaker industrial demand, particularly from the automotive and coatings industries, which traditionally experience slower activity at the start of the year. Reduced import volumes and lower downstream consumption added to the overall market slowdown, which affected both production and procurement strategies. 

In Q1 2024, the market started the year on a softer note. CIF India prices were INR 138,122/MT, a -3.05% decline from Q4 2023. The sluggish demand recovery after year-end holidays, combined with sufficient inventory levels, limited fresh import bookings. Importers were conservative, and stable supply from Taiwan ensured a well-balanced market. Ex-Mumbai prices saw a sharper correction, falling to INR 155,666/MT, a -6.60% drop, as distributors offered competitive pricing to boost liquidity and clear older stock in a subdued demand environment. 

nonyl phenol Parameters Covered: 

  • Petroleum-based Feedstocks
  • Nonyl Group (C9)
  • Catalysts and Process Chemicals
  • Taiwan 
  • Industrial Cleaning and Degreasing (Nonylphenol and its derivatives are used in cleaning agents due to their wetting, emulsifying, and dispersing properties.)
  • Paints and Coatings (Used as an additive in coatings to improve the spread ability and durability of paints, especially in industrial applications.)
  • Plastics and Polymers (Nonylphenol is a plasticizer and can be used in polymer production to improve material properties like flexibility and durability.)
  • Singapore
  • India

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Nonyl Phenol prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present): The geopolitical situation has significantly affected global supply chains and impacted the price of feedstocks like benzene and propylene, leading to higher production costs for Nonyl Phenol. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021): The pandemic created widespread disruptions in chemical manufacturing and distribution, temporarily driving prices up before stabilizing. 
  • Energy Price Shocks (2021-2022): Rising crude oil prices post-pandemic, alongside logistical challenges in the APAC region, led to price hikes in both feedstocks and the final product. 
  • Natural Disasters in Southeast Asia (2018-2020): Typhoons and floods in Taiwan and Southeast Asia caused production disruptions, leading to tight supply and subsequent price increases for Nonyl Phenol.

Specifications

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Nonyl Phenol prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present): The geopolitical situation has significantly affected global supply chains and impacted the price of feedstocks like benzene and propylene, leading to higher production costs for Nonyl Phenol. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021): The pandemic created widespread disruptions in chemical manufacturing and distribution, temporarily driving prices up before stabilizing. 
  • Energy Price Shocks (2021-2022): Rising crude oil prices post-pandemic, alongside logistical challenges in the APAC region, led to price hikes in both feedstocks and the final product. 
  • Natural Disasters in Southeast Asia (2018-2020): Typhoons and floods in Taiwan and Southeast Asia caused production disruptions, leading to tight supply and subsequent price increases for Nonyl Phenol.

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global nonyl phenol price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the nonyl phenol market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence nonyl phenol prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely nonyl phenol market data.

Track PriceWatch's nonyl phenol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions.
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major nonylphenol production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics.
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire nonylphenol supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., naphtha, ethane) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact nonylphenol prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing.
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on nonylphenol production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks.
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging), to predict shifts in nonylphenol demand and corresponding price movements. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global nonylphenol production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately.
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming nonylphenol production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments.
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global nonylphenol pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast nonylphenol prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power.
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations.
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice.

 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable nonylphenol pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 

Nonyl Phenol price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for nonyl phenol. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Nonylphenol is primarily influenced by raw material costs, particularly the price of benzene and octyl alcohol, which are key feedstocks in its production. Other important factors include supply and demand dynamics in industries like detergents, plasticizers, lubricants, and personal care products. Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices, regulatory changes, environmental standards, and energy costs can affect production costs and market prices. Trade tariffs and geopolitical instability may also play a role, especially in global supply chains.

Regional production has a significant impact on Nonylphenol pricing. Regions with higher production capabilities, such as Asia-Pacific, generally experience lower prices due to the availability of local feedstocks and more efficient supply chains. In contrast, areas that rely on imports, like North America and Europe, often face higher costs due to shipping fees, import duties, and longer delivery times. Moreover, regional demand, local regulatory conditions, and production capacities in specific industries also influence pricing on a regional scale.

Recent pricing trends for Nonylphenol show some fluctuation, driven by rising raw material costs, particularly in the benzene and alcohol markets, as well as the impact of global supply chain disruptions. To secure better rates, procurement teams can explore locking in long-term supply agreements, monitoring shifts in raw material prices, and negotiating bulk purchasing discounts. Additionally, staying informed on market conditions and considering alternative sourcing options or regional suppliers can help mitigate price increases.

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