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Natural Rubber Price Trend and Forecast

⟳ Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

natural rubber Markets Covered:

vnVietnam
thThailand
cnChina
inIndia
idIndonesia
usUnited States
myMalaysia
nlNetherlands
brBrazil

Global natural rubber Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In Q1 2025, Natural Rubber (Latex DRC: 60%) prices of FOB Laem Chabang reported at $1475/ MT, marking a 6.65% drop from last quarter of 2024. This decline was driven by weaker global demand, especially from the automotive sector in China and Europe, which affected import instigation. At the same time, favorable rainfall conditions across Thailand boosted product, leading to an abundant domestic force. Adding to the pressure, geopolitical pressures and shipping dislocations in the Red Sea created query in global trade overflows, elevating numerous transnational buyers to delay large- volume purchases. 

Natural RubberTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

In Q1 2025, Natural Rubber (Latex DRC: 60%) prices of FOB Laem Chabang reported at $1475/ MT, marking a 6.65% drop from last quarter of 2024. This decline was driven by weaker global demand, especially from the automotive sector in China and Europe, which affected import instigation. At the same time, favorable rainfall conditions across Thailand boosted product, leading to an abundant domestic force. Adding to the pressure, geopolitical pressures and shipping dislocations in the Red Sea created query in global trade overflows, elevating numerous transnational buyers to delay large- volume purchases. 

As Q1 2025 began, prices of Natural rubber (Latex 60%) of Ex- Kottayam showed a modest answer, climbing to $1568/ MT, which marks a 3.50% increase from Q4 2024. The rise was supported by steady offtake from tyre manufacturers and rubber goods directors, driven by strong bus deals at the launch of the time. Cooler downtime rainfall in crucial product zones slightly limited the yield, tensing fresh force in the request. Export demand for reused rubber goods also advanced some support to original procurement. Still, the request remained generally balanced, with acceptable stock situations keeping any sharp harpoons in check. 

Natural Rubber Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the Natural Rubber (Latex 60 %) request is anticipated to witness shifting dynamics. As the festive season approaches, increased demand for Natural Rubber in packaging and automotive operations could drive prices up again. Also, implicit supply chain challenges, similar as geopolitical pressures and weather- related dislocations, could impact request conditions. The ongoing focus on sustainable practices and advancements in product technologies may also influence future pricing and force availability in the Natural Rubber request. Overall, procurement teams should stay alert and flexible to adjust to these changing demand trends as they plan for the upcoming quarter. 

In Q4 2024, the Natural rubber (Latex 60%) request of Ex- Kottayam witnessed a conspicuous correction, with prices settling around $1515/ MT, reflecting a 17.93% decline from Q3. This drop was substantially due to better tapping conditions post-monsoon, leading to a healthier domestic force. Also, the gleeful season demand had formerly passed its peak, and numerous buyers had formerly grazed up in the former quarter. With significance stabilizing and product from Kerala and northeastern countries perfecting, the request endured a slight increase in procurement pressure, bringing prices down to more comfortable situations.  

By early Q3 2024, the Natural Rubber (Latex 60 %)  shifted to a further bearish trend, where FOB Laem Chabang prices reported at USD 1,764/ MT in July, indicating a decline of 9% from June in Q2. This downturn was attributed to limited demand from vital sectors and an abundant global force, leading to request adaptation. The easing of force chain issues and bettered product capabilities allowed for better force situations, contributing to the price reduction. Also, seasonal factors and reduced consumer demand in some regions played a part in price reduction. 

By Q3 2024, Natural Rubber (Latex 60%) prices at Ex-Kottayam rose sharply to $1846 per metric ton, which was a 14.30% increase from Q2. The rally was substantially driven by continued tight force conditions during the thunderstorm season, which disrupts harvesting and detainments transportation in rubber-producing belts. Domestic manufacturers ramped up procurement amid fears of prolonged force gaps, especially with jubilee demand for marketable vehicles and relief Tyres peaking. In addition, harborage- related challenges and slower significances of rubber from Southeast Asia contributed to a tighter request, pushing prices further overhead. 

In Q2 2024, Natural Rubber (Latex 60 %) prices of FOB Laem Chabang rose to USD 1,917.6/ MT, reflecting a 10 % increase from Q1. This rise was driven by strong demand for Natural Rubber in operations analogous to automotive tires, medical gloves, and processed products. The wave in the product of these goods, coupled with logistical challenges and rising freight rates, puts an upward pressure on prices. Supply chain disruptions and factory closures led to a lower availability of Natural Rubber, which further added to the rise in prices. 

In Q2 2024, Natural rubber (Latex 60%) prices of Ex- Kottayam continued to rise, reaching around $1615/ MT, marking an 11.07% increase from Q1. This steady growth was driven by stronger artificial demand, especially from tyre manufacturers fulfilling both domestic and import orders. On the force side, seasonal factors similar as summer blankness in rubber- growing regions affected latex tapping, causing a mild force constraint. also, global rubber prices concrete up due to limited exports from Southeast Asian countries, laterally impacting the Indian request as well. This price movement aligned with a broader recovery in automotive demand and increased freight conditioning. 

In Q1 2024, the global Natural Rubber (Latex DRC: 60 %)  demand showcased an increasing trend, mainly by rising demand from key sectors like automotive, manufacturing, and consumer goods, of FOB Laem Chabang, Natural Rubber prices were reported at USD 1,577.5/ MT in January and USD 1,730.8/ MT in February, marking a notable 10% increase from the foregoing month. This wave in prices was fueled by elevated exertion in the construction sector and increased demand for Natural Rubber in various operations, including tires, footwear, and bonds. The Lunar New Year also contributed to the demand for packaging accoutrements, leading to a shaft in production and distribution, beyond boosting Natural Rubber use. 

In Q1 2024, prices of Indian Natural Rubber (Latex 60%) at Ex-Kottayam followed a strong upward trend, reaching $1454 per metric ton—an 8.27% rise compared to the previous quarter. This swell was largely fueled by bettered buying interest from the automotive and tyre manufacturing sectors, which saw a recovery in product exertion after a muted Q4 2023. Also, the harvest season in crucial rubber-producing countries like Kerala led to tight domestic force, farther supporting the price rise. The jubilee season during January and February also contributed to a temporary boost in demand, particularly in logistics and two- wheeler deals, which calculate heavily on rubber- grounded factors. 

natural rubber Parameters Covered: 

  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Vietnam
  • Malaysia
  • Thailand
  • Tyre and automotive industry
  • Industrial machinery
  • Medical (Gloves, elastic devices)

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Natural Rubber prices

  • China’s Economic Slowdown (2023-2024): A slowdown in China’s economy led to reduced demand for Natural Rubber, particularly in the automotive and manufacturing sectors, causing downward pressure on prices.
  • Southeast Asia Droughts (2022): Severe droughts in Thailand and Malaysia, major producers of Natural Rubber, reduced latex output, leading to a temporary supply shortage and increased prices globally.
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021): Natural Rubber prices initially dropped due to reduced demand in industries like automotive, but as demand for medical gloves and packaging materials surged, prices rebounded sharply.
  • Thailand’s Export Restrictions (2019): To stabilize falling prices, Thailand, one of the largest producers of Natural Rubber, introduced export restrictions, leading to reduced global supply and a price increase.
  • El Niño Weather Event (2016): The El Niño phenomenon caused extreme weather conditions in Southeast Asia, impacting latex yields and reducing supply, which led to a significant spike in Natural Rubber prices.
  • China’s Stockpile Management (2015): China, a major consumer of Natural Rubber, adjusted its stockpile strategies in 2015, purchasing large quantities to build reserves. This increased demand, temporarily raising global prices.

 

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Natural Rubber market to environmental factors, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in demand, underscoring the importance of constant monitoring for procurement strategies.

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Natural Rubber prices

  • China’s Economic Slowdown (2023-2024): A slowdown in China’s economy led to reduced demand for Natural Rubber, particularly in the automotive and manufacturing sectors, causing downward pressure on prices.
  • Southeast Asia Droughts (2022): Severe droughts in Thailand and Malaysia, major producers of Natural Rubber, reduced latex output, leading to a temporary supply shortage and increased prices globally.
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021): Natural Rubber prices initially dropped due to reduced demand in industries like automotive, but as demand for medical gloves and packaging materials surged, prices rebounded sharply.
  • Thailand’s Export Restrictions (2019): To stabilize falling prices, Thailand, one of the largest producers of Natural Rubber, introduced export restrictions, leading to reduced global supply and a price increase.
  • El Niño Weather Event (2016): The El Niño phenomenon caused extreme weather conditions in Southeast Asia, impacting latex yields and reducing supply, which led to a significant spike in Natural Rubber prices.
  • China’s Stockpile Management (2015): China, a major consumer of Natural Rubber, adjusted its stockpile strategies in 2015, purchasing large quantities to build reserves. This increased demand, temporarily raising global prices.

 

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Natural Rubber market to environmental factors, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in demand, underscoring the importance of constant monitoring for procurement strategies.

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global natural rubber price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the natural rubber market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence natural rubber prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely natural rubber market data.

Track PriceWatch's natural rubber price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch gathers real-time pricing data for Natural Rubber from a variety of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures our pricing assessments reflect the latest market conditions.
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market players such as producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users across major Natural Rubber production hubs. This hands-on intelligence is critical for understanding localized market dynamics.
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We closely monitor the entire Natural Rubber supply chain, from rubber plantations to processing, production, and distribution. This includes tracking feedstock supply, production capacities, and logistics, providing a comprehensive view of the supply landscape.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Developments: PriceWatch continuously tracks geopolitical factors, such as trade disputes or changes in government policies, which can significantly affect Natural Rubber prices. For example, export restrictions or tariff changes in major producing countries like Thailand, Indonesia, or Malaysia may impact global supply and pricing.
  • Climate and Environmental Events: Natural Rubber production is highly sensitive to climate conditions. We assess the impact of weather events such as heavy rains, droughts, or disease outbreaks in plantations (e.g., leaf blight), which can disrupt supply and lead to price fluctuations. Our forecasts take these environmental factors into account.
  • Economic Factors: PriceWatch analyzes global economic conditions, including growth trends, inflation rates, and demand from key industries like automotive and construction. These macroeconomic trends help us predict shifts in Natural Rubber demand and pricing.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a detailed database of global Natural Rubber production facilities, including plantations and processing units, tracking their operational status, seasonal production variations, and output levels. This allows us to provide an accurate picture of current supply availability.
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes forecasts of upcoming production capacities, considering new plantations, expansion of existing processing units, and advancements in harvesting technologies. This helps anticipate future supply trends and price stability.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch offers in-depth analysis of demand across major sectors such as automotive (for tires), healthcare (for medical gloves), and industrial applications. We track annual demand growth and project future consumption trends based on industry developments and economic indicators.
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology includes regional demand variations, such as increased demand from emerging markets or shifts in manufacturing bases. This regional analysis helps explain how changes in demand can influence global Natural Rubber prices.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch uses advanced econometric models to forecast Natural Rubber prices. These models incorporate real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. We continually refine these models to ensure accuracy and reliability.
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to explore different future market conditions. These scenarios include best-case, worst-case, and most-likely outcomes, helping clients prepare for various price movements and market changes.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports containing current Natural Rubber price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to provide clear, actionable insights.
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch provides continuous updates and personalized client support. Our team is always available to discuss specific market developments, offer tailored advice, and ensure clients have the most up-to-date information for decision-making.

 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Natural Rubber pricing assessments, enabling our clients to stay ahead of market trends and make well-informed business decisions.

Natural Rubber price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for natural rubber. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The price of Natural Rubber is influenced by several factors, including the supply of raw materials from major producing countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Fluctuations in demand from key industries like automotive, changes in weather conditions affecting rubber plantations, and geopolitical events also play a crucial role. Additionally, transportation costs, currency exchange rates, and government export policies can impact pricing trends for Natural Rubber.

Natural Rubber production is highly sensitive to weather conditions. Heavy rainfall, droughts, or disease outbreaks in major producing regions can reduce latex yield, leading to lower supply and higher prices. Conversely, favourable weather conditions typically result in higher production, which can lead to price stabilization or reductions. Procurement heads should monitor weather patterns closely to anticipate potential price fluctuations.

Natural Rubber prices can vary significantly across regions due to differences in production capacities, export policies, and transportation costs. Southeast Asia, being the largest producer, generally offers more competitive prices compared to other regions like Europe or North America. Procurement teams should consider sourcing from regions where prices are lower and account for logistics costs, tariffs, and local market conditions to optimize procurement strategies.

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