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Melamine Price Trend and Forecast

⟳ Weekly Update
|
Historical Data Since 2015
|
Forecast for 2026

melamine Markets Covered:

cnChina
inIndia
vnVietnam
brBrazil
egEgypt
auAustralia
nlNetherlands
frFrance
trTurkey

Global melamine Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In Q1 2025, melamine prices in both China and the Netherlands experienced declines. In China, prices dropped to 720 USD/ton, reflecting a 12% decrease compared to the previous quarter, driven by reduced demand from key industries such as construction, textiles, and automotive. In the Netherlands, prices fell to 1,350 USD/ton, marking a 3% decrease due to similar demand reductions. These price drops in both regions indicated a slowdown in these sectors, influenced by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

MelamineTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

In Q1 2025, melamine prices in both China and the Netherlands experienced declines. In China, prices dropped to 720 USD/ton, reflecting a 12% decrease compared to the previous quarter, driven by reduced demand from key industries such as construction, textiles, and automotive. In the Netherlands, prices fell to 1,350 USD/ton, marking a 3% decrease due to similar demand reductions. These price drops in both regions indicated a slowdown in these sectors, influenced by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

In Q1 2025, melamine prices showed a decline in both CIF India (China) and India. CIF India (China) prices dropped to $798 USD/ton, reflecting an 11.4% decrease, driven by reduced demand from key industries such as construction, automotive, and textiles. Similarly, melamine prices in India fell to $913 USD/ton, marking a 5% decrease, also influenced by slower demand from these sectors. Both price drops were attributed to global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

Melamine Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, melamine prices in both China and the Netherlands saw declines. In China, prices dropped to 822 USD/ton, marking a 6% decrease from the previous quarter, primarily due to reduced demand from key industries such as construction, textiles, and automotive. Similarly, in the Netherlands, prices fell to 1,387 USD/ton, reflecting a 2% decrease, driven by a slight reduction in demand from the same sectors. These price drops in both regions indicated a slowdown in these industries, influenced by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

In Q4 2024, melamine prices showed a decline in both CIF India (China) and India. CIF India (China) prices dropped to $901 USD/ton, reflecting a 5.4% decrease, primarily driven by reduced demand from key industries such as construction, automotive, and textiles. Similarly, melamine prices in India fell to $961 USD/ton, marking a 9% decrease, due to a slowdown in the same sectors. Both price drops were influenced by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

In Q3 2024, melamine prices in both China and the Netherlands saw a 2% decrease compared to the previous quarter. In China, prices dropped to 875 USD/ton, primarily due to reduced demand from key industries like construction, textiles, and automotive. Similarly, in the Netherlands, prices fell to 1,410 USD/ton, driven by a slight decline in demand from the same sectors. Despite ongoing reliance on melamine for producing laminates, coatings, and adhesives, the price drops in both regions highlighted a slowdown in these industries, influenced by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

In Q3 2024, melamine prices experienced contrasting trends in India and CIF India (China). CIF India (China) saw a minor increase to 952 USD/ton, reflecting a 0.1% rise due to stable demand from industries such as construction, automotive, and textiles. Conversely, melamine prices in India fell to 1,055 USD/ton, marking a 2% decline, primarily driven by a slight drop in demand from these same sectors. Both price fluctuations were impacted by global supply issues and raw material cost variations. 

In Q2 2024, melamine prices exhibited differing trends in China and the Netherlands. In China, prices dropped to 890 USD/ton, a 7% decrease from the previous quarter, largely due to a slight dip in demand from key industries such as construction, textiles, and automotive. Conversely, in the Netherlands, prices rose to 1,438 USD/ton, reflecting a 6% increase driven by robust demand from the same sectors. These price fluctuations underscored the contrasting market conditions, with China experiencing a slowdown, while the Netherlands saw continued recovery despite global supply challenges and rising raw material costs. 

In Q2 2024, melamine prices in both CIF India (China) and India saw declines. CIF India (China) prices dropped to 951 USD/ton, reflecting a 5.6% decrease compared to the previous quarter, driven by reduced demand from industries like construction, automotive, and textiles. Similarly, melamine prices in India fell to 1,075 USD/ton, marking an 8% decrease, influenced by a slowdown in these key sectors. Both price drops were impacted by global supply challenges and fluctuations in raw material costs. 

In Q1 2024, melamine prices saw notable increases across both China and the Netherlands. In China, prices reached 952 USD/ton, marking a 2% increase from the previous quarter, driven by strong demand from the construction, textile, and automotive industries. Similarly, in the Netherlands, prices surged to 1,362 USD/ton, reflecting a 7% rise compared to the previous quarter. This growth was also fueled by robust demand from the same key sectors. The price hikes in both regions highlighted a continued recovery in these industries, despite challenges in raw material availability and global supply dynamics. 

In Q1 2024, melamine prices saw increases in both CIF India (China) and India. CIF India (China) prices reached 1,007 USD/ton, reflecting a 6% rise compared to the previous quarter, driven by strong demand from construction, automotive, and textiles. Similarly, in India, melamine prices rose to 1,171 USD/ton, marking a 4% increase, also fueled by sustained demand from these industries. Both price hikes highlighted growth in key sectors despite global supply challenges and raw material fluctuations. 

melamine Parameters Covered: 

  • Urea
  • Formaldehyde
  • China
  •  Netherlands
  • Resins
  • Textile
  • Paper Industry
  • Construction Industry
  • Egypt
  • Brazil
  • Vietnam
  •   India
  • Turkey
  •  Australia
  • France

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Melamine prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022): The Russia-Ukraine conflict, which escalated in early 2022, has had significant repercussions on global commodity markets, including the melamine sector. The conflict has disrupted supply chains, affected feedstock availability, and contributed to rising prices across various chemical products. 
  • Melamine is primarily produced from urea, and the conflict has impacted urea supply chains, particularly as both Russia and Ukraine are significant players in the fertilizer market. Disruptions in urea availability have led to increased costs for melamine production. 
  • The conflict has caused volatility in global energy markets, particularly natural gas, which is a critical feedstock for ammonia production (a precursor to urea). Rising energy costs have further exacerbated the price increases in melamine. 
  • Texas Winter Storm (2021): Many chemical plants in Texas were forced to shut down due to freezing temperatures and power outages. This included facilities that produce key feedstocks for melamine production, leading to a decrease in overall supply. 
  • The winter storm impacted the supply of natural gas, a critical feedstock for ammonia production (which is used to make urea, a precursor for melamine). Reduced availability of these feedstocks further strained melamine production. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020):  In the early months of the pandemic, melamine prices saw a decline as demand weakened and production slowed. 
  • Geopolitical Tensions (2018-2019): U.S.- The U.S.-China trade war initiated in 2018 led to tariffs on various chemicals, including melamine and its feedstocks. This increased costs for manufacturers and created volatility in prices, as companies adjusted to new tariffs and sourcing strategies. 
  • Shale Gas Boom (2010s): The shale gas boom led to an increase in the supply of ethane, a key feedstock for the production of melamine and ammonia. This abundance resulted in lower prices for these feedstocks, which are essential for producing urea, the primary precursor for melamine. 
  • Global Financial Crisis (2008-2009):  the onset of the financial crisis, melamine prices dropped as demand plummeted and excess inventory built up in the market. 
  • As economies began to recover in 2010, melamine prices started to stabilize and gradually increase, driven by a rebound in demand from key sectors 
  • Hurricane Katrina (2005): Hurricane Katrina in 2005 had a notable impact on melamine prices, driven by production disruptions, supply chain challenges, and increased raw material costs. The event highlighted the vulnerability of the chemical industry to natural disasters and the importance of robust supply chain management. Companies should remain vigilant in planning for such disruptions in the future. 

 

These events underscore the Melamine market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Melamine prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022): The Russia-Ukraine conflict, which escalated in early 2022, has had significant repercussions on global commodity markets, including the melamine sector. The conflict has disrupted supply chains, affected feedstock availability, and contributed to rising prices across various chemical products. 
  • Melamine is primarily produced from urea, and the conflict has impacted urea supply chains, particularly as both Russia and Ukraine are significant players in the fertilizer market. Disruptions in urea availability have led to increased costs for melamine production. 
  • The conflict has caused volatility in global energy markets, particularly natural gas, which is a critical feedstock for ammonia production (a precursor to urea). Rising energy costs have further exacerbated the price increases in melamine. 
  • Texas Winter Storm (2021): Many chemical plants in Texas were forced to shut down due to freezing temperatures and power outages. This included facilities that produce key feedstocks for melamine production, leading to a decrease in overall supply. 
  • The winter storm impacted the supply of natural gas, a critical feedstock for ammonia production (which is used to make urea, a precursor for melamine). Reduced availability of these feedstocks further strained melamine production. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020):  In the early months of the pandemic, melamine prices saw a decline as demand weakened and production slowed. 
  • Geopolitical Tensions (2018-2019): U.S.- The U.S.-China trade war initiated in 2018 led to tariffs on various chemicals, including melamine and its feedstocks. This increased costs for manufacturers and created volatility in prices, as companies adjusted to new tariffs and sourcing strategies. 
  • Shale Gas Boom (2010s): The shale gas boom led to an increase in the supply of ethane, a key feedstock for the production of melamine and ammonia. This abundance resulted in lower prices for these feedstocks, which are essential for producing urea, the primary precursor for melamine. 
  • Global Financial Crisis (2008-2009):  the onset of the financial crisis, melamine prices dropped as demand plummeted and excess inventory built up in the market. 
  • As economies began to recover in 2010, melamine prices started to stabilize and gradually increase, driven by a rebound in demand from key sectors 
  • Hurricane Katrina (2005): Hurricane Katrina in 2005 had a notable impact on melamine prices, driven by production disruptions, supply chain challenges, and increased raw material costs. The event highlighted the vulnerability of the chemical industry to natural disasters and the importance of robust supply chain management. Companies should remain vigilant in planning for such disruptions in the future. 

 

These events underscore the Melamine market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global melamine price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the melamine market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence melamine prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely melamine market data.

Track PriceWatch's melamine price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major melamine production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire melamine supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., Urea) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact melamine prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on melamine production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, Construction), to predict shifts in Melamine demand and corresponding price movements. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global melamine production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming melamine production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global melamine pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast melamine prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Melamine pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 

Melamine price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for melamine. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The price of melamine is influenced by several factors, including raw material costs, particularly urea, and the availability of production capacity. Additionally, fluctuations in energy prices, transportation costs, and market demand in key industries such as textiles, automotive, and construction can significantly impact pricing. Regulatory changes and geopolitical events can also create price volatility.

Supply chain disruptions, such as transportation delays, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions, can lead to shortages in the availability of melamine. These disruptions can increase shipping costs and result in higher prices due to limited supply. Procurement heads should stay informed about potential disruptions and consider developing contingency plans to mitigate their impact on pricing and availability.

To optimize purchasing costs for melamine, procurement teams can implement several strategies:

Long-Term Contracts: Securing long-term contracts with suppliers can provide price stability and ensure a reliable supply.

Market Monitoring: Keeping a close eye on market trends and price forecasts can help identify the best times to purchase.

Supplier Diversification: Working with multiple suppliers reduces dependency on a single source, which can mitigate risks related to price fluctuations or supply disruptions.

Bulk Purchasing: Taking advantage of bulk buying opportunities can lead to cost savings, especially during favorable market conditions.

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