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Aniline Price Trend and Forecast

⟳ Weekly Update
|
Historical Data Since 2015
|
Forecast for 2026

aniline Markets Covered:

beBelgium
cnChina
deGermany
huHungary
inIndia
krKorea
esSpain
usUnited States

Global aniline Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In Q1 2025, the Aniline market turned bearish, with prices in Belgium (FD Antwerp) dropping sharply to USD 1,465/MT, marking a 7.8% decline. The Lunar New Year holiday in China led to temporary plant shutdowns, reducing production and lowering demand. This slowdown extended into China’s market, where excess inventory and a decline in feedstock costs further contributed to the bearish sentiment. Additionally, a global reduction in freight costs and improved logistics efficiency led to smoother supply chains, further easing price pressures. However, steady demand from packaging and insulation materials prevented a more drastic downturn in Aniline prices. 

In Q1 2025, Indian Aniline prices (Ex-Bharuch) fell to USD 1470/MT, a fall of 4.5% from Q4 2024. Better quality feedstock supply of Benzene from overseas brought down the input cost. Reduced oil prices on a global basis helped in less stringent energy and production costs. Better trade flow and lower tariff on some of the chemical imports through the USA also helped release market pressure. 

AnilineTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

In Q1 2025, the Aniline market turned bearish, with prices in Belgium (FD Antwerp) dropping sharply to USD 1,465/MT, marking a 7.8% decline. The Lunar New Year holiday in China led to temporary plant shutdowns, reducing production and lowering demand. This slowdown extended into China’s market, where excess inventory and a decline in feedstock costs further contributed to the bearish sentiment. Additionally, a global reduction in freight costs and improved logistics efficiency led to smoother supply chains, further easing price pressures. However, steady demand from packaging and insulation materials prevented a more drastic downturn in Aniline prices. 

In Q1 2025, Indian Aniline prices (Ex-Bharuch) fell to USD 1470/MT, a fall of 4.5% from Q4 2024. Better quality feedstock supply of Benzene from overseas brought down the input cost. Reduced oil prices on a global basis helped in less stringent energy and production costs. Better trade flow and lower tariff on some of the chemical imports through the USA also helped release market pressure. 

Aniline Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, the Aniline market in Belgium (FD Antwerp) experienced a slightly bearish phase, with prices slipping to USD 1,590/MT, reflecting a 0.6% decline. This downturn was largely due to year-end destocking, as buyers reduced purchases to optimize inventory. The construction sector slowed amid seasonal downturns, while the packaging industry maintained stable but restrained demand. China’s market followed a similar trend, with improved raw material supply and lower freight disruptions helping to stabilize prices. Additionally, softening energy costs and increased domestic production prevented any significant price spikes, maintaining a cautious market sentiment. 

During Q4 2024, Aniline prices in India (Ex-Bharuch) dropped steeply to USD 1540/MT, a decline of 13%. There was a healthy supply in the global Benzene market, cutting feedstock costs. Crude oil prices dipped as geopolitical tensions eased, reducing overall energy costs. The lifting of temporary freight surcharges on US trade route shipments also boosted the falling price trend. 

In Q3 2024, the Aniline market in Belgium (FD Antwerp) witnessed a bullish trend, with prices surging to USD 1,600/MT, marking a 6% increase from the previous quarter. This price hike was primarily driven by strong demand from the construction and packaging industries, as infrastructure projects and industrial activities gained momentum post-summer. In China, a similar upward trend was observed, fuelled by increased consumption in manufacturing and urban development. Additionally, rising Benzene prices and higher production costs kept the market bullish. Supply chain constraints, including container shortages and elevated freight rates, further tightened availability, adding to the price pressure across major regions.

During Q3 2024, Indian Aniline prices (Ex-Bharuch) reduced to USD 1770/MT, down by 8.8% compared to the last quarter. Benzene prices weakened because of better global availability and a decline in crude oil prices. Reduced international energy prices relaxed production costs for local producers. Transport costs also reduced as logistics and port operations stabilized on major routes, including those related to the USA. 

In the second quarter of 2024, Aniline prices in Belgium (FD Antwerp) increased to USD 1510/MT, reflecting a positive trend of 2.26% from Q1. This rise can be attributed to sustained demand from both the Packaging and Construction sectors. During this period, there was a 7.4% increase in container port volumes and a 10.4% rise in containership supply, which contributed to higher freight rates and exacerbated the bullish market trend. Congestion at major ports in Asia, equipment shortages, and rerouting issues further strained the supply chain, leading to significant price increases. The ongoing demand pressure and logistics challenges were key factors driving the higher prices in this quarter. 

In Q2 2024, Indian Aniline prices (Ex-Bharuch) went up again to USD 1940/MT, a 9% increase from Q1. This was primarily due to tight Benzene supply as some local suppliers experienced production slowdowns. Global oil prices were firm during this time, maintaining energy prices at a high level. In addition to that, port congestion and freight delays on major US trade routes led to higher transportation costs. 

In the first quarter of 2024, the global Aniline market saw a notable rise in prices, particularly in Belgium (FD Antwerp) where prices reported at USD 1476.7/MT, marking an increase of 5.73% from the previous quarter. This upward trend was largely influenced by the strong demand from key sectors like Packaging and Construction, alongside rising feedstock prices. The resurgence of the Construction industry further fuelled Aniline demand, while increased Packaging needs during the Lunar New Year drove up production and distribution volumes. Supply chain disruptions, including factory closures and elevated freight rates, contributed to the upward pressure on prices, with a 2% rise in global capacity utilization compared to 2023 adding to the market strain. 

 

In Q1 2024, Indian Aniline prices (Ex-Bharuch) increased to USD 1780/MT, a 6.6% increase over the last quarter. The increase was based on an uptrend in Benzene feedstock prices because of stable international crude oil prices. Higher energy prices in the country also contributed to an overall increase in production costs. Higher domestic transport charges also added to the general increase in Aniline prices. 

aniline Parameters Covered: 

  • Benzene 
  • Nitrobenzene 
  • Belgium 
  • China 
  • Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate (MDI), Polyurethane Foams (Construction, Automotive) 
  • Rubber Chemicals, Dyes, Pigments (Textile, Rubber) 
  • Agricultural Chemicals, Herbicides (Agriculture) 
  • India 
  • Germany 
  • Hungary 
  • South Korea 
  • Spain 
  • USA 

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Aniline prices

  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially caused a sharp drop in Aniline demand due to economic slowdowns, but as industries adapted, demand rebounded, particularly in the healthcare and packaging sectors, leading to a surge in prices. 
  • US-China Trade Tensions (2018-2019): Trade disputes between the US and China disrupted the global supply chain for Aniline, with tariffs and trade barriers affecting the flow of raw materials and finished products, contributing to price instability. 
  • China’s Environmental Regulations (2017-Present): Stricter environmental policies in China have led to production cuts and increased costs for Aniline, causing price fluctuations as global supply from one of the largest producers was reduced. 

 

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Aniline market to a range of global factors and emphasize the importance of monitoring these dynamics to understand price movements.

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Aniline prices

  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially caused a sharp drop in Aniline demand due to economic slowdowns, but as industries adapted, demand rebounded, particularly in the healthcare and packaging sectors, leading to a surge in prices. 
  • US-China Trade Tensions (2018-2019): Trade disputes between the US and China disrupted the global supply chain for Aniline, with tariffs and trade barriers affecting the flow of raw materials and finished products, contributing to price instability. 
  • China’s Environmental Regulations (2017-Present): Stricter environmental policies in China have led to production cuts and increased costs for Aniline, causing price fluctuations as global supply from one of the largest producers was reduced. 

 

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Aniline market to a range of global factors and emphasize the importance of monitoring these dynamics to understand price movements.

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global aniline price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the aniline market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence aniline prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely aniline market data.

Track PriceWatch's aniline price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions for Aniline. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Aniline production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Aniline supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., benzene, ammonia) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as trade disputes and conflicts, which can significantly impact Aniline prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or severe weather, on Aniline production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Regulatory Changes: We track changes in environmental and industrial regulations that can affect Aniline production and pricing. For instance, stricter environmental laws may lead to higher production costs or supply limitations.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Aniline production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Aniline production capacities, considering new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including automotive, textiles, and chemicals. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Aniline pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Aniline prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Aniline pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Aniline price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for aniline. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Aniline pricing is impacted by various factors, including fluctuations in raw material costs such as benzene and nitric acid, which are essential for its production. Additionally, global supply-demand dynamics, production capacities in key regions like China, changes in crude oil prices (which affect feedstock availability), transportation costs, and environmental regulations can also influence pricing. Seasonal demand fluctuations from industries such as rubber, dyes, and pharmaceuticals, as well as geopolitical events affecting trade, play significant roles in pricing trends.

Supply chain disruptions, particularly in major production hubs like China and Europe, can significantly impact aniline prices. Shortages of raw materials, logistical bottlenecks, or increased tariffs can lead to price surges. Additionally, regional factors such as production facility outages, stricter environmental regulations, and availability of feedstocks like benzene in specific regions can cause price variations. For instance, procurement heads may notice higher prices in regions with limited local production capacity, leading to higher import dependence.

Aniline prices differ significantly across regions due to variances in production capacities, raw material access, and transportation costs. For example, Asia, particularly China, is a major producer of aniline and often has more competitive pricing compared to regions like Europe, where stricter regulations and higher production costs drive prices up. Procurement teams can benefit by monitoring regional price trends and diversifying their sourcing strategies, potentially reducing costs by sourcing from lower-priced markets, depending on logistical feasibility and supplier reliability.

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