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Acrylonitrile Price Trend and Forecast

⟳ Weekly Update
|
Historical Data Since 2015
|
Forecast for 2026

acrylonitrile Markets Covered:

usUnited States
mxMexico
caCanada
pePeru
krKorea
trTurkey
nlNetherlands
saSaudi Arabia
inIndia
auAustralia
cnChina

Global acrylonitrile Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In Q1 2025, Acrylonitrile (Purity; ≥99%) prices in the U.S. averaged $1342/MT FOB Houston, reflecting a 2.93% decline from Q4 2024. The decrease was primarily due to continued weakness in industrial demand, with the automotive and construction sectors facing slower recovery amid persistent economic uncertainties. Additionally, propylene feedstock prices softened, reducing production costs and easing price pressures. Downstream demand from textiles and plastics remained sluggish, as buyers adopted a cautious approach amid market volatility. While some seasonal restocking occurred, it was not enough to offset the overall decline, keeping prices on a downward trajectory. 

AcrylonitrileTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

In Q1 2025, Acrylonitrile (Purity; ≥99%) prices in the U.S. averaged $1342/MT FOB Houston, reflecting a 2.93% decline from Q4 2024. The decrease was primarily due to continued weakness in industrial demand, with the automotive and construction sectors facing slower recovery amid persistent economic uncertainties. Additionally, propylene feedstock prices softened, reducing production costs and easing price pressures. Downstream demand from textiles and plastics remained sluggish, as buyers adopted a cautious approach amid market volatility. While some seasonal restocking occurred, it was not enough to offset the overall decline, keeping prices on a downward trajectory. 

In Q1 2025, the Indian market for Acrylonitrile (ACN) imported from China witnessed a strong upswing, with prices rising to $1380/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (China), reflecting a 14.62% increase from the previous quarter. This price hike was driven by supply side constraints in the Chinese market, which tightened significantly due to the Lunar New Year holiday disruptions. During this period, many Chinese producers either scaled back operations or implemented maintenance shutdowns, reducing export availability across the region. As a result, Indian buyers faced limited cargo offers and growing lead times, prompting a wave of restocking at elevated price levels. The seasonal demand revival in India after the year-end lull, along with expectations tied to the upcoming fiscal announcements, further supported the bullish pricing environment. Additionally, firm feedstock propylene prices added upward pressure to overall production costs, reinforcing the upward momentum. 

Acrylonitrile Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, Acrylonitrile (Purity; ≥99%)  prices in the U.S. averaged $1,382/MT FOB Houston, marking a modest 1.01% increase compared to Q3. This slight uptick was largely attributed to a moderate rebound in demand from the automotive and construction industries, supported by more stable supply chain conditions and a gradual rise in production activity. Seasonal demand from the textiles and plastics sectors also lent additional support to the market. Although propylene feedstock prices remained stable, stronger downstream consumption helped nudge prices upward. Nonetheless, the market remained cautious overall, with global economic uncertainties continuing to cap any significant price surges. 

Looking back at Q4 2024, ACN prices in India stood at $1204/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (China), reflecting a 1.71% drop from Q3. Despite some buying activity during the festive season in October, overall sentiment remained muted due to comfortable inventories and sluggish downstream offtake. With many Indian buyers having secured material ahead of the holiday season, fresh import interest remained low. Meanwhile, the global market was impacted by year-end slowdowns, and stable production levels in China ensured ample availability for export, keeping pricing in check. 

In Q3 2024, Acrylonitrile (Purity;≥99%) prices in the U.S. averaged $1369/MT FOB Houston, reflecting a 4.8% decline from Q2. This drop was mainly due to softening demand from the automotive and construction sectors, as economic uncertainties and high interest rates led to slower industrial activity. Propylene feedstock prices were stable, which reduced cost pressures on Acrylonitrile production. Improved supply conditions, coupled with easing freight and logistics constraints, further contributed to the price decline. While demand from textiles and plastics provided some market support, it wasn’t enough to counteract the broader industrial slowdown, leading to a downward price trend in Q3. 

In Q3 2024, prices declined to $1225/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (China), marking a 3.92% fall from Q2 levels. This downturn was largely attributed to the monsoon season in India, which slowed manufacturing operations and reduced demand from end-use industries such as textiles and automotive components. Chinese suppliers were active in the market, maintaining a steady flow of material. Buyers in India, however, were cautious, operating on thin inventories and avoiding aggressive procurement amid continued expectations of further price softness. 

In Q2 2024, Acrylonitrile (Purity;≥99%) prices in the U.S. averaged $1438/MT FOB Houston, marking a 5.26% increase from Q1. This price rise was primarily driven by continued strength in the automotive and construction sectors, which maintained steady demand for Acrylonitrile-based products like ABS and acrylic fibers. Additionally, higher Propylene feedstock costs sustained upward pressure on prices, while logistical constraints and elevated freight rates further tightened supply. Despite some easing in supply chain disruptions, industrial activity remained strong, supporting Acrylonitrile demand from key downstream industries such as textiles and plastics, leading to a sustained price increase in Q2. 

During Q2 2024, the Indian ACN import market witnessed a marginal decline, with prices at $1275/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (China), slipping by 0.39% compared to Q1. The period saw balanced supply-demand conditions, with steady shipments arriving from China and consistent downstream consumption. However, with no strong external factors pushing prices upward, and a slowdown in export demand from Indian manufacturers, the market showed signs of stabilization. Pre-monsoon buying was also somewhat muted, as many processors adopted a wait-and-watch approach. 

In Q1 2024, the global Acrylonitrile (Purity; ≥99%)  market saw a significant surge, primarily driven by higher Propylene feedstock prices and strong demand from major sectors like automotive, construction, and textiles. In the U.S., Acrylonitrile prices went up to $1366/MT FOB Houston, marking a 12.65% increase from the previous quarter. This price hike was largely attributed to the ongoing recovery in the automotive and construction industries, which led to a rise in demand for Acrylonitrile-based products such as ABS and acrylic fibres. Additionally, supply chain disruptions and increased freight costs further exacerbated the price rise, as suppliers struggled to keep up with the growing demand. 

In Q1 2024, prices had ticked up slightly to $1280/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (China), representing a 1.75% increase from Q4 2023. This early year firmness was supported by improved sentiment post-winter holidays and a moderate rebound in downstream consumption. Restocking activity by Indian buyers and steady exports of derivatives like ABS and SAN added to the positive pricing pressure. Nevertheless, the increase remained limited due to sufficient availability from Chinese suppliers and no major disruptions in supply chains. 

acrylonitrile Parameters Covered: 

  • Propylene
  • Ammonia
  • USA
  • South Korea
  • China
  • Acrylic Fibres
  • ABS, ASA, NBR
  • Carbon Fibre
  • Mexico
  • Canada
  • Peru
  • Turkey
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Netherlands
  • Australia
  • India

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Acrylonitrile prices

  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) – Disruptions in production and shifts in demand led to significant price volatility in acrylonitrile. 
  • Hurricane Harvey (2017) – This hurricane caused major disruptions in petrochemical production in the Gulf Coast, affecting acrylonitrile supply. 
  • Market Consolidation (2015 Onwards) – Mergers and acquisitions in the petrochemical industry altered production capacities and market competition.

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Acrylonitrile prices

  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) – Disruptions in production and shifts in demand led to significant price volatility in acrylonitrile. 
  • Hurricane Harvey (2017) – This hurricane caused major disruptions in petrochemical production in the Gulf Coast, affecting acrylonitrile supply. 
  • Market Consolidation (2015 Onwards) – Mergers and acquisitions in the petrochemical industry altered production capacities and market competition.

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global acrylonitrile price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the acrylonitrile market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence acrylonitrile prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely acrylonitrile market data.

Track PriceWatch's acrylonitrile price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Acrylonitrile production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Acrylonitrile supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., Propylene) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact Acrylonitrile prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on Acrylonitrile production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (Adhesives, Sealants), to predict shifts in Acrylonitrile demand and corresponding price movements. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Acrylonitrile production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Acrylonitrile production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Acrylonitrile pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Acrylonitrile prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Acrylonitrile pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Acrylonitrile price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for acrylonitrile. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Acrylonitrile is influenced by several key factors, including the cost of feedstocks like Propylene and ammonia, which are essential for its production. Fluctuations in crude oil prices and changes in demand from major end-use industries such as automotive, textiles, and plastics also play a significant role. Additionally, geopolitical events, transportation costs, and supply chain disruptions can impact pricing trends.

Feedstock availability, particularly of Propylene, directly affects Acrylonitrile pricing. When there are disruptions in Propylene supply due to refinery outages, production cuts, or changes in market dynamics, Acrylonitrile prices often rise as manufacturers compete for limited resources. Conversely, an abundant supply of Propylene can lead to price stabilization or reductions.

Regional price differences for Acrylonitrile can be substantial, influenced by local production capacities, feedstock availability, and market demand. For instance, regions with strong refining infrastructure, like the U.S. and parts of Asia, may experience lower prices compared to others with limited production capabilities. Understanding these regional dynamics is essential for procurement heads, as they can optimize sourcing strategies by exploring cost-effective suppliers in favourable markets while balancing quality and delivery times.

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