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1,4 Butanediol Price Trend and Forecast

UNSPC code: 123456
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⟳ Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

1,4 butanediol Markets Covered:

cnChina
twTaiwan
inIndia
trTurkey
vnVietnam
brBrazil

Global 1,4 butanediol Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In Q3 2025, prices in the Chinese market declined by 1.13%, reaching USD 1053/MT. The slight decrease was influenced by typical seasonal trends before the Lunar New Year, which often lead to a temporary slowdown in industrial activity and destocking of the products. While demand from the downstream market remained relatively weak during the early part of the quarter, ongoing market trend continued to fall during this time. Feedstock prices showed limited fluctuations, offering little support to offset the broader downward pressure. Overall, a combination of muted downstream demand, persistent downward trend, and seasonal inertia shaped a cautious market sentiment in Q2.

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1,4 ButanediolTrend Analysis: Q2 2025

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In Q1 2025, prices in the Chinese market declined by 1.13%, reaching USD 1053/MT. The slight decrease was influenced by typical seasonal trends before the Lunar New Year, which often lead to a temporary slowdown in industrial activity and destocking of the products. While demand from the downstream market remained relatively weak during the early part of the quarter, ongoing market trend continued to fall during this time. Feedstock prices showed limited fluctuations, offering little support to offset the broader downward pressure. Overall, a combination of muted downstream demand, persistent downward trend, and seasonal inertia shaped a cautious market sentiment in Q1. 

In Q1 2025, prices rebounded by 4.11%, reaching INR 1,698.15/MT, nearly returning to Q4 2023 levels while India Ex prices continued to fall reaching USD 2034/MT. The rise in import prices was influenced by renewed downstream demand from the automotive, adhesives, and textile sectors, coinciding with improved macroeconomic indicators and rising crude oil prices, which impacted upstream raw material costs. Taiwanese exporters experienced tighter margins and moderated supply availability, prompting firmer pricing in the export market. Indian buyers, forecasting further upward price movement, increased procurement volumes, contributing to the CIF price rise. 

1,4 Butanediol Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, prices in the Chinese market declined by 3.62%, settling at USD 1065/MT. This drop was primarily driven by weaker feedstock prices, which lowered production costs and exerted downward pressure on the market. Seasonal trends also played a role, as demand typically softens during the final quarter due to reduced industrial activity and holiday-related slowdowns. Additionally, diminished demand from the downstream market, particularly from sectors like manufacturing and construction, further contributed to the price decline. The combined impact of these factors reflected a bearish sentiment across the market during this period. 

In Q4 2024, import prices corrected by 5.97%, dropping to INR 1,631.15/MT. Also, India Ex prices declined to USD 2216/MT by 2.87% The decline followed a period of restocking in Q3 and reflected market normalization as Taiwanese plants resumed operations and supply conditions improved. Indian demand remained steady but shifted to more conservative procurement strategies following the previous quarter’s surge. Increased availability from alternative suppliers, including Southeast Asia and domestic players, added downward pressure to prices. Buyers prioritized cost control and opted for need-based imports in anticipation of further market stabilization. 

In Q3 2024, the prices of 1,4-Butanediol (BDO) in the Chinese market has declined further by 5.23%, reaching USD 1105/MT. This continued downtrend is driven by weak feedstock prices (notably acetylene and formaldehyde) and sluggish demand from downstream industries such as THF, GBL, and PBT. With lower production costs and soft consumption, market sentiment remains bearish, and BDO prices are expected to stay under pressure in the near term.  

In Q3 2024, Prices surged by 7.87% to USD 1735/MT, while India Ex prices also increased by 9.9% reaching 2281 USD/MT, marking the highest quarterly rise in the observed period. The price hike was primarily attributed to tightened supply conditions in Taiwan, where multiple producers reduced output due to scheduled maintenance and limited feedstock availability. This coincided with a resurgence in Indian demand from sectors such as polyurethanes, elastic fibers, and specialty chemicals, leading to aggressive short-term buying. The combination of reduced supply and increased downstream activity led to a sharp upward revision in CIF pricing for Taiwan-origin BDO. 

In Q2 2024, BDO prices continued to fall, declining by approximately 4% from Q1 reaching 1166 USD/MT. The South China BDO market remained weak, with limited news and reduced supply-side support contributing to cautious, bearish market sentiment. Despite efforts by suppliers to stabilize prices, trading activity was constrained, and market focus remained weak. In East China, the BDO market also showed signs of weakness as maintenance facilities resumed operations, further softening supply-side support. Downstream demand remained moderate, with industry players maintaining a cautious outlook, resulting in lacklustre market performance.  

In Q2 2024, CIF prices recorded a marginal decline of 0.69%, reaching USD 1608/MT while India Ex prices declined to USD 2076/MT by 5.75% The market remained relatively flat, with limited fluctuations in feedstock and freight costs. Demand from the resins and synthetic leather industries showed gradual recovery, yet overall sentiment was restrained due to global economic uncertainties. Taiwanese exporters offered competitive rates amid increased regional competition, while Indian buyers continued to opt for short-term sourcing to avoid exposure to price volatility. This led to stable yet cautious trade flows during the quarter. 

In Asian market, 1,4 Butanediol (BDO) prices experienced a decline in prices. In China prices declined by approximately 6.6% in Q1 2024 compared to Q4 2023 and reached 1215 USD/MT. The butanediol (BDO) market in South China remained weak and volatile, with diminished downstream demand and subdued spot trading activity. Some manufacturers with inventory adopted a more aggressive shipping strategy, though actual transactions were constrained by narrow market negotiations. In East China, the BDO market faced similar conditions. Despite efforts by suppliers to maintain price stability, pre-Spring Festival demand remained light, and holding manufacturers were focused on shipping, leading to negotiated prices slightly below market expectations. 

In Q1 2024, Import prices from Taiwan declined by 4.74%, settling at USD 1619/MT while India Ex prices increased to USD 2203/MT. The decrease was largely driven by seasonal slowdown in downstream consumption following the year-end inventory buildup. Indian buyers adopted a cautious stance amid lower domestic consumption and subdued performance in sectors like automotive chemicals and thermoplastics. Improved inventory availability in the local market and reduced urgency in imports contributed to weaker transactional values. While India domestic market saw a market correction and concluded an opposite trend during the time. 

1,4 butanediol Parameters Covered: 

  • Formaldehyde
  • Acetylene
  • Maleic Anhydride
  •  China
  •  Taiwan
  • Plastics and Polymers
  • Solvents
  • Polyurethanes
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Agricultural Chemicals
  • India
  • Turkey
  • Vietnam
  •  Brazil

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in 1,4 Butanediol prices

  • 2021–2022: Supply Chain Disruptions and Raw Material Shortages:
    As the global economy began to recover from the pandemic, supply chain disruptions, particularly in Asia, caused raw material shortages. The surge in demand for downstream products like spandex, plastics, and solvents led to increased BDO prices. Higher crude oil and natural gas prices also contributed to this rise, as these are key feedstocks for BDO production. 
  • 2020: COVID-19 Pandemic:
    The COVID-19 pandemic caused unprecedented disruptions to global supply chains, severely impacting the BDO market. Lockdowns, factory closures, and reduced industrial activity led to a sharp drop in demand, particularly in sectors like automotive, textiles, and plastics. BDO prices fell significantly during the first half of 2020. However, the demand for sanitizers and packaging materials helped stabilize prices later in the year​. 
  • 2017: Environmental Regulations in China:
    China implemented stricter environmental regulations, which led to the closure of several small and medium-sized chemical plants. This supply reduction caused a short-term increase in BDO prices, especially in Asia, as the market adjusted to the reduced capacity. The tightened supply drove prices higher temporarily as manufacturers scrambled to meet demand​. 

 

These events underscore the BDO market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

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Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in 1,4 Butanediol prices

  • 2021–2022: Supply Chain Disruptions and Raw Material Shortages:
    As the global economy began to recover from the pandemic, supply chain disruptions, particularly in Asia, caused raw material shortages. The surge in demand for downstream products like spandex, plastics, and solvents led to increased BDO prices. Higher crude oil and natural gas prices also contributed to this rise, as these are key feedstocks for BDO production. 
  • 2020: COVID-19 Pandemic:
    The COVID-19 pandemic caused unprecedented disruptions to global supply chains, severely impacting the BDO market. Lockdowns, factory closures, and reduced industrial activity led to a sharp drop in demand, particularly in sectors like automotive, textiles, and plastics. BDO prices fell significantly during the first half of 2020. However, the demand for sanitizers and packaging materials helped stabilize prices later in the year​. 
  • 2017: Environmental Regulations in China:
    China implemented stricter environmental regulations, which led to the closure of several small and medium-sized chemical plants. This supply reduction caused a short-term increase in BDO prices, especially in Asia, as the market adjusted to the reduced capacity. The tightened supply drove prices higher temporarily as manufacturers scrambled to meet demand​. 

 

These events underscore the BDO market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global 1,4 butanediol price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the 1,4 butanediol market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence 1,4 butanediol prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely 1,4 butanediol market data.

Track PriceWatch's 1,4 butanediol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major BDO production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire BDO supply chain, from raw material availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact BDO prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on BDO production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging), to predict shifts in BDO demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global BDO production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming BDO production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global BDO pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast BDO prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable BDO pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

1,4 Butanediol price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for 1,4 butanediol. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Crude oil prices have a significant influence on 1,4-Butanediol pricing because BDO is derived from petrochemical feedstocks, such as acetylene or butadiene, which are byproducts of oil refining. When crude oil prices rise, the cost of these raw materials increases, leading to higher production costs for BDO. Conversely, when oil prices drop, BDO manufacturers can benefit from lower feedstock costs, often leading to a decrease in BDO prices. Procurement teams should monitor global crude oil trends closely, as this can affect not only the price but also the supply chain and lead times for BDO sourcing.

Seasonal demand fluctuations, especially in industries such as automotive, textiles, and construction, significantly affect 1,4-Butanediol prices. For instance, demand for BDO typically rises during the spring and summer months when production ramps up in sectors like coatings and spandex, both of which rely on BDO. Conversely, demand may taper off during winter, leading to a decrease in prices. Additionally, seasonal energy price spikes, especially in regions that experience severe winters, can drive up production costs, influencing the overall pricing of BDO. Understanding these seasonal trends helps procurement heads plan more effectively for price fluctuations.

Several supply chain risks can impact the prices and availability of 1,4-Butanediol. Key risks include geopolitical tensions, natural disasters affecting production regions, and disruptions in shipping and logistics. For instance, production facility shutdowns or raw material shortages in major producing regions like China or the Middle East can result in supply constraints, driving up prices globally. Additionally, environmental regulations, such as China’s stringent emissions controls, can reduce output, causing price surges. Procurement heads should consider diversifying suppliers and exploring alternative regions to mitigate these risks.

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